GardasilHazardous Compounds

-Sodium Borate (rat poison active ingredient)

(detergentlinked tocancer and infertility in animals)

Aluminum Adjuvants
(autoimmune disease link, nerve toxin)

The Extravagent Promise of Mass Vaccination   (Realised in 2057?..), 28 Jun 2010


Who will be Saved?
What is the first year in which it is possible that a cervical cancer death may be prevented in Ireland solely due to the effect of the new annual HPV mass vaccination campaign?
If protection from vaccine lasts for full lifetime, with the a verage age of girls getting vaccinated annually being 12, and the
age of death is 56 (current average age of mortality for cervival cancer victims), then we can calculate that vaccination will not have any effect on preventing deaths till after 2054.
But what is the first year in which it is statistically likely that a cervical cancer death may be prevented solely due to the effect of the new annual HPV mass vaccination campaign? 
First let's consider the impact of the recently introduced national screening program for cervical cancer launched in September 2008.   Future cervical cancer mortality estimates can be reduced drastically based on the programs targeted coverage of 80% [Note that Screening has a 95% pre-cancer detection rate ].  
So, in calculating vaccine effectiveness, we first need to exclude those lives (from the annual number of 30,000 vaccinated) that will be saved by the screening programme: which leaves 7.2k at risk ((1-(0.8*0.95)*30k).
Then we need to factor in rate of vaccine effectiveness (70%)  for those not being screened. 
That leaves 5k who theoretically will be protected by the vaccine (70% of 7.2k) - the 'protected by vaccine alone' ('PbVA') number for 1 year. 
To calculate the current annual Irish mortality rate for cervival cancer, I will base my calculation on the most recent annual figure of 81 deaths (for 2007 ) against a female population of  2,170k .   
This gives a rate of death from cervical cancer of '1 in 26,790' (2170k /81).
So, 5.4 years (26,790/ 5000) of vaccination need to pass before there are enough people in the 'protected by vaccine alone' group to make 1 death statistically likely.   This '1-death' group has to have an average age of '56' however, so, projecting forward to 2054, these 5.4 years will cover ages 53 - 59.  So, for 12 year old girls getting vaccinated annually starting from 2010, the first year in which there will be enough women vaccinated to make it  statistically likely that a cervical cancer death will be prevented by the vaccine, is when the first batch of vaccinees reach age 59 i.e in the year 2057 .
  Assuming of course no medical advances in the next 47 years in treatment or prevention of cervical cancer.

..and the Media Consenus on this question?
The Irish Daily Mail  (through the "Roll out the Vaccine Now!" campaign ) claim that  100 lives a year will be saved by mass vaccination (for a mere  10million annual cost). 
Various other advocates in Irish politics claim numbers of between 50 to 90. 
The rather more realistic 'One saved after 50 years' estimate does not, before now, seem to have found a mind willing to calculate it. (Our academic scholars seemingly have shyed away from this challange..). 

Trading young lives today for the promise of 2057?
Is this scenario a compelling argument for mass injection of a potentially dangerous vaccine (with a potential sterilising agent ) whose protection has not been demonstrated to last more than 5 years .  In fact, we can safely assume that protection will have worn off after 10 years.   Dr Diane M. Harper, professor at Dartmouth Medical School in New Hampshire, who led clinical trials of the Gardasil HPV vaccine admits in this 2007 article  that:
"We know that Gardasil is an alum-based vaccine; we assume its efficacy will last for about 10 years".
So, in other words, we can expect the effectiveness of the mass vaccination shots (given to 12 year olds) to have worn off decades before the age at which a women can expect to be at risk from cervical cancer.  Which makes the estimates in my article entirely academic - based on her admission we now know that we cannot expect any lives to be 'saved' by this vaccination program.

NZ experience..
How can we predict the number of 'serious adverse reactions' we are likely to see in Ireland?  One might look at the experience of New Zealand, a country of similar population which introduced HPV vaccination in Sep 2008.  In November 2006, the NZ Ministry of Health decided not to
fund the vaccine, citing insufficient information about its long-term efficacy, impact on health inequalities and costeffectiveness.  However, as in Ireland, the decision was reversed , and starting in 2009, a free national Gardasil vaccinations program for girls aged 1213 years was introduced.
Last year a NZ mother went public on her daughter's Gardasil-related death.  
Other NZ girls are speaking out about debilitating affects they now suffer from.  
80 schools have refused to take part in this national vaccination program in New Zealand.

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Video Introduction

Crash Course in History of Gardasil

Meet "The Gardasil Girls"

A not so exclusive club..

"Catalog of Horrors"

The FDA 'Vaccine adverse event report' (VAERS) on Gardasil.